And he won’t be able to keep the game going for much longer.
- 77.2 Public Health
Directives - 19.3 Financial
Response - 40 Fact-Based
Communication
Turkey has very weak policy, driven by little emergency spending, stimulus, or debt relief, and loosening restrictions. It also has limited press freedom and has conducted minimal testing.
Pre-COVID Conditions
Turkey has a universal healthcare system but few doctors available, limiting healthcare access; limited wealth and low numbers of hospital beds left it poorly prepared for the pandemic, bringing its score down to the median.
- Debt/GDP ratio 30.2%
- GDP/capita $29,327
- Gini coefficient (out of 100) 41.9
- Infant mortality rate (out of 1,000 live births) 9
- Healthcare access score (out of 100) 76.2
- Hospital beds/1,000 People 19
Government Response
Select a data point for more information(Data points represent policy level as of Jan 1.)
Public Health Directives
Turkey has a relatively strong health policy score, with poor testing policy and no emergency healthcare spending undermining otherwise consistently strong restrictions.
- Stay at home order 3
- Public gathering restrictions 4
- School closings 2
- Public event cancellations 0
- Testing policy 0
- Emergency healthcare investments/capita $0.00
- Travel restrictions 2
- Tests/1,000 people 292.4
- Contact tracing 2
Financial Response
Turkey’s financial response is relatively weak due to its very small stimulus package.
- Financial stimulus as share of GDP 4%
- Income support 2
- Debt forebearance 2
Fact-Based Communication
Turkey does not perform well in this category, because while it has not engaged in misinformation, the country’s press freedom is as limited as that of any country in the Index in response to COVID-19.
- Reliance on science/fact based information 0
- Press freedom 3
COVID-19 Status as of Jan 1
Turkey performs near the median in this category, driven by a case rate near the median and a worsening positivity rate, though its press limitations raise concerns about the accuracy of these numbers.
- Total deaths 21,093
- Death rate per 100K 250.1
- Total cases 2,220,855
- Cases per 100K 26,333
- Percent of positive tests 8.3
- Change in positivity rates +7.1
Date | Status | New Cases/1M | |
---|---|---|---|
1 | May 11 | Some retail shops reopen | 20.52 |
2 | Jun 01 | Travel restrictions among 15 major cities are lifted; restaurants, sporting facilities, and government institutions reopen; domestic flights resume | 11.78 |
3 | Jun 10 | Curfews on those between ages 18 and 65 ease; opening times for restaurants and similar businesses are extended | 11.20 |
4 | Jun 12 | Reopen all land borders, exept with Iran | 11.65 |
5 | Jun 15 | Mandate facemasks, implement limited weekend curfews | 14.75 |
6 | Aug 26 | Allow flexible working options | 15.92 |
7 | Sep 04 | Extend national ban on layoffs for 2 more months | 18.70 |
8 | Sep 08 | Mandate facemasks in all public areas | 19.59 |
9 | Sep 21 | Preschool and 1st year students return to in-person school | 19.87 |
10 | Nov 20 | Implement weekend nighttime curfews, close malls, markets, restaurants, and hairdressers at 10 pm, restaurants and cafes close except delivery, schools online for rest of 2020 | 46.30 |
11 | Dec 01 | Weekday curfew from 9 pm to 5 am, total weekend curfew, people over age 65 no longer allowed in public transportation, cap of 30 people at funerals and weddings | 352.39 |
12 | Dec 21 | Suspend all flights to/from UK, Denmark, Netherlands, and South Africa | 300.42 |
13 | Dec 31 | Imposed a four-day curfew through January 4th | 182.83 |
Differentiating Factors
- Three-quarters of population to be inoculated by summer: The Turkish government announced plans to vaccinate 65 million people out of the population of 83 million by June 2021. The country has bought 50 million doses of the CoronaVac vaccine developed by Chinese company Sinovac. Read More
- Death toll hits record highs for nine days in a row: Early December saw Turkey's death toll hit a record high for nine consecutive days, leading to aggressive new measures to combat the surge in cases and deaths, including curfews on weekdays and a full lockdown on weekends. Turkey only began reporting asymptomatic cases in late November. Read More
- Erdogan announces New Year lockdown: President Erdogan announced mid-December that the entire country would be required to lockdown from morning on December 31st to morning January 4th, in an attempt to curb cases. Read More
- Scientists face criminal investigations: The governor of the Bursa province filed a complaint against scientists and physicians for sharing research that the numbers of cases and deaths from COVID-19 are higher than what the government initially claimed. The government has accused the scientists of "misleading the public" and "causing panic." Read More
- Government accused of hiding true COVID-19 figures: The Turkish Medical Association has accused the government of hiding the true number of COVID-19 cases and deaths, and reports that hospitals are running out of beds to treat patients. Doctors are reportedly being forced to choose which patients receive intensive care. Read More
- Erdogan mandates shorter weddings: New restrictions decreed by the government to curb community spread of the virus include mandating alternating shifts in offices, and limiting wedding ceremonies to just one hour, with reduced attendance. Read More
- Doctor shortages due to blacklists impacting response: Turkey has a universal healthcare system, but a very low number of doctors per capita, which has limited its ability to treat coronavirus patients and proactively contain the virus. The low number of doctors is due in large part to a mass blacklisting of healthcare professionals and civil servants in 2016, which included the country's top coronavirus expert. Read More
Compared with Other NATO Members
-
56.3Belgium 648,289
Cases 55,937
Per 1M 19,581
DeathsBelgium has a relative strong score, with its generous income support and strong testing and contact tracing countered by limited public health directives.
-
53.9Norway 49,803
Cases 9,187
Per 1M 436
DeathsNorway scores just below the median, pulled down by its weak public health and financial response scores, despite a strong reliance on facts and a free press.
Further Reading From Foreign Policy
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Statistics and government response factors available on each country profile include:
Pre-COVID Conditions:
- Debt to GDP ratio
- Infant mortality rates
- Hospital beds per 1,000 people
- Gini coefficients measuring inequality
- Health access and quality
COVID-19 Public Health Directives:
- Stay-at home orders
- School-closing policy
- Public-gathering restrictions
- Cancellation of public events
- Testing policy and rates per 1,000 people
- Emergency healthcare spending per capita
- Travel restrictions
- Contact tracing
COVID-19 Financial Response:
- Stimulus package as a share of GDP
- Income support
- Debt-forbearance
Public Communications:
- Instances of misinformation by leadership
- Limitations on press freedom, censorship
Current/Historic In-Country COVID-19 Status:
- Death rates per 1 million
- Case rates per 1 million